The Cost To The Mets Of Leaving Matt Harvey On The Mound

With a little help from the Kansas City Royals’ aggressive brand of opportunism, the New York Mets committed a variety of blunders en route to losing the World Series. But the one that might haunt the team most in the wake of its season-ending 7-2 loss Sunday was the acquiescence of manager Terry Collins to the demand of starting pitcher Matt Harvey to remain on the mound for the ninth inning with a 2-0 lead.Up to that point, Harvey had spun a gem of a game — eight innings of shutout ball with nine strikeouts — under pressure-packed circumstances. But he’d also thrown 101 pitches and was navigating his way through the heart of the Royals’ lineup for a dangerous fourth time. Meanwhile, Mets closer Jeurys Familia had been warming up and was about to enter the game… before Collins changed his mind after Harvey lobbied to stay in. (Harvey could be seen in the dugout shouting “no way” at the idea of being replaced.)Three batters later, Harvey had already given up one run and put the eventual tying run on base, effectively giving New York its own version of Grady Little leaving Pedro Martinez on the hill in the 2003 ALCS. But how much did it really cost the Mets at each step of the way?Under normal circumstances,1As per wOBA, computed using Baseball-Reference’s Marcel projections and using the MLB average to determine the expected runs per plate appearance in a theoretical matchup between Harvey and hitters No. 3-7 in KC’s lineup. the heart of the Kansas City order would score about 0.36 runs per inning against Harvey, giving the team a corresponding 9 percent probability of scoring at least the two runs required to tie the game. But all else being equal, pitchers going through the order a fourth time see about a 7.5 percent increase to their runs allowed per inning — meaning there was more like a 10 percent chance that the Royals would score two or more runs against Harvey at that stage of the game.Meanwhile, the same Royals batters would have been expected to score about 0.35 runs per inning against a fresh Familia, which corresponds to a 9 percent probability of plating two or more runs. A difference of 1 percentage point may not sound like much, but the start of the ninth inning is already a medium-leverage situation before a pitch is thrown, so even small changes to the probability of getting out of the inning without relinquishing the lead (and therefore winning the game) are amplified.Of course, Collins arguably made a bigger mistake when he declined to pull Harvey even after Harvey allowed a leadoff walk to Lorenzo Cain. With a tired Harvey in the game, the odds of allowing two or more runs in the inning climbed to 19 percent, as opposed to the 17 percent it would have been against Familia in the same situation. (And after Cain stole second base, those numbers became 20 percent and 18 percent.)Again, the odds were still good that the Mets would be able to record three outs before the Royals scored two runs. Eric Hosmer’s subsequent double would have been an unexpected event whether he hit it off Harvey or Familia — it was the game’s most important play in terms of win probability added — and even after that, the Royals still needed Hosmer’s remarkable heads-up baserunning (and a bad throw by Lucas Duda) to tie the ballgame and force extra innings.So it’s unfair to criticize Collins too much for leaving Harvey on the mound to start the ninth inning. But in a must-win game where every small edge matters, that fateful decision definitely shaved a few percentage points off of New York’s chances of sending the Series back to Kansas City.CORRECTION, Nov. 2, 3:15 p.m.: An earlier version of this article referred incorrectly to the difference in the probability of the Royals scoring two runs in the ninth if Harvey had been replaced by Familia at the top of the inning. The difference is 1 percentage point, not 1 percent. In addition, the article incorrectly referred to Duda’s throw to home as an error. Although the throw was wide of its mark, it was not officially scored as an error. read more

Commentary NBC Sports Network big upgrade over Fox Soccer

Last week was the start of something new for American fans of the English Premier League; it was also the start of something great. For years now, Fox Soccer Channel has dictated how we watched a sport loved across the world, but after the debut of NBC Sports Group coverage of the EPL on Aug. 17, I believe we can now breathe a sigh of relief.Back in October 2012, NBC Sports Network bought the rights to show EPL matches when it outbid Fox and ESPN, although Fox will still carry the UEFA Champions League and ESPN, the Fifa World Cup, who had been airing the matches together for nearly two decades, with a bid of roughly $250 million. I never had anything against the way Fox broadcasted the matches at the time, but after experiencing NBCSN, I can tell you without a doubt in my mind that I don’t want it to go back to the way it was.When Fox Soccer aired the matches, you were required to have a Fox Soccer 2 Go subscription if you wanted to watch any matches that were not aired live on TV. This subscription could be purchased in two separate ways. A monthly subscription would have cost you $19.99 per month, or you could opt to pay for the subscription annually, paying $169.99, saving you roughly $70 a year. With this subscription, you gained access to watch thousands of matches from the EPL to the Champions League on your computer and mobile devices, but it cost you a pretty penny.This brings me to the best part of NBCSN coverage of the EPL. Not only will NBCSN air all 380 EPL matches, but they also offer both Premier League Extra Time and NBC Sports Live Extra at no extra cost to everyone who has NBC Sports. Premier League Extra Time is a collection of extra channels that air any match not shown on an NBCUniversal designated channel and NBC Sports Live Extra offers EPL viewers the capability to stream every match live using a desktop or a mobile device for no extra charge. The NBC Sports Live Extra app is supported by both Apple iOS and Android.This may sound too good to be true for EPL fans, but currently the only downside to NBCSN airing the matches is that not every cable provider is currently carrying NBCSN. However, NBCSN claims on its website that it is working hard on adding other providers to a list that already contains WOW!, AT&T U-Verse, DISH and DirecTV.NBCSN is receiving positive feedback from fans too, as last weekend’s EPL debut earned an average of 792,000 viewers and the best rating for an EPL opening weekend in the U.S. with a 0.8. These numbers show a 43 percent increase from last year when the matches were still shown on Fox Soccer. This significant increase is due partly to the sport gaining more fans across the U.S. but also because of the coverage offered by NBCSN. read more

Adolphus Washington doing good things at new position for Ohio State football

Then-sophomore defensive lineman Adolphus Washington (92) gets up after tackling an opposing player during the 2014 Discover Orange Bowl Jan. 3 at Sun Life Stadium. OSU lost, 40-35.Credit: Shelby Lum / Photo editorAll it takes to end a career early is an injury.Even if the injury itself isn’t of a significant nature, the possibility remains that the player who steps in as a replacement can do such a good job that the original starter loses his place forever.For junior defensive lineman Adolphus Washington, that possibility became all too real for the briefest of moments last season. After injuring his groin against San Diego State Sept. 7, Washington watched then-freshman Joey Bosa come in and claim the starting defensive end position, opposite then-sophomore Noah Spence.But a late season switch saw Washington take up a position on the interior of the line, something that could take a career that was once hanging by a thread and turn it into something completely different.Now with Washington “inside for good,” he said he has been improving this offseason with the different style of play on the inside.“I’ve been doing real good with it this spring,” Washington said Thursday. “Especially going up against guys like (redshirt-sophomore offensive lineman) Pat Elflein and (redshirt-junior offensive lineman) Tommy Brown. If I can do it against them, I know I can do it against pretty much anybody.”New defensive line coach Larry Johnson said Washington has the right skill set to be successful as an interior lineman.“You always want a three-tackler, a guy that’s going to get a lot of one-on-ones and have an ability to rush the passer,” Johnson said Thursday. “He’s 285, 290 and that’s big enough to play inside. So you have to take a skilled guy who’s rushed on the edge and play inside and play as a guard position, it’s going to give you a different edge on the inside. That’s what I’m excited about. He’s got great hips, he can rush the passer, so there should be some great things coming from him.”But it’s not just the skill set Washington brings that has Johnson raving, it’s also the drive Washington shows on the practice field.“He’s worked really hard,” Johnson said. “He’s had a really good … spring ball. He really has. We moved him inside because of the pass rush ability, he’s playing the run real nice and then he’s doing a great job for us.”Last season, in limited time, Washington recorded 36 tackles, to go along with four tackles for a loss and two sacks.Even though he played on the interior later in the year after Bosa became established as the defensive end starter, Washington said he was uneasy when practice first started, but that things have improved.“At first I was kind of nervous and scared about it. But now that I got a hold of it, it’s whatever. I am just going to go out there and play,” Washington said.He added that sometimes having to face multiple blockers at once — compared to the one he would face at end more often than not — is what really made him nervous.“The double teams. I used to watch … (senior defensive lineman) Michael Bennett used to tell me about them and he used to be like ‘You just have to get your pads low and fly off the ball,’” Washington said. “So I am like, ‘I can do that’ if that’s all it takes. I can just do that.”Johnson said facing the double teams won’t be a problem for Washington, as long as he pays attention and learns from his coaches.“Talk technique to him. Show him how to fit the double teams, and he’s doing a great job for us so far in spring ball, doing that and as he does it, confidence will come in the run game,” Johnson said. “I’ve been really excited for all these guys, Adolphus has done a really good job for us.”Washington is likely set to have his second chance to start on the interior of the line for the Buckeyes — after starting the 2014 Discover Orange Bowl against Clemson — when OSU opens its season Aug. 30 against Navy.Kickoff is scheduled for noon at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. read more

Ohio State womens soccer suffers first loss recovers with victory over the

OSU freshman defender Kylie Knight fights for a ball during a game against West Virginia on Sept. 11 at Jesse Owens Memorial Stadium. OSU lost 2-0. Credit: Kylie Bryant / For The LanternThe No. 15 Ohio State women’s soccer team hosted No. 8 West Virginia on Friday evening at 7 p.m., falling to the Mountaineers 2-0.The defeat was the Buckeyes’ first loss of the season.Throughout the entire first half, the Mountaineers played a tight defense and the Buckeyes couldn’t get anything going. OSU and WVU seemed to fight through every possession and headed into halftime with no score on the board for either team, but the Mountaineers held a commanding 12-1 lead in shots.“I think the first thing was that we had very good possession, we were keeping the ball, but our possession was not progressing forward,” OSU coach Lori Walker said. “We needed to be able to gain space with every pass and we just kept knocking the ball around the back, around the back, around the back and that’s not ever engaging a team.”The Mountaineers put the first point on the board in the 77th minute, with their second goal scored less than two minutes later.Despite the loss, Walker said after the game that she was glad the team had a chance to learn from a strong opponent like WVU.“This was a fantastic opportunity for us to play against a team that I think is going to go very far this year. And we learned a lot,” she said. “And so there’s a lot we can gain from this, and as long as we don’t lose the lessons, the loss won’t hurt us that much.”The Mountaineers led the Buckeyes 23-5 in shots.The Scarlet and Gray then hosted Bucknell on Sunday afternoon, shutting out the Bison 2-0.The game marked the first meeting between the two teams.Sunday was also Parents’ Day, where each player’s parents were honored on the field at the start of the game.OSU put the first point on the board with a goal by junior defender Bridget Skinner on a header from sophomore midfielder Nikki Walts’ free kick.The opening score was Skinner’s first career goal.“I was so happy,” Skinner said. “I actually said on Friday morning that that was my goal for the season, so to have that come in the same weekend was pretty cool.”The second half got underway with a goal from freshman midfielder Sarah Roberts in the 50th minute, deflected off a Bucknell defender. This was also Roberts’ first career goal.“It’s surreal,” Roberts said. “I don’t think I really expected it. I haven’t been taking that many shots this year, but Coach had said everybody needs to take at least one shot before halftime, and after halftime, so I had my chance and I took it.”Roberts also explained the importance of carrying the team’s momentum into Big Ten play.“I think we need to learn from our mistakes,” she said. “Watch film, break it down. We’re 5-1-1, and that’s huge going into Big Ten play where the teams are going to be harder, they’re going to be stronger, everything elevated to the next level. So, if we can carry our momentum through the Big Ten, I think we’re going to be competing for the championship.”Walker said she was pleased with the way her team bounced back from Friday night’s loss.“I think the biggest challenge coming off of a loss against a top team is to have a high level of energy, and certainly playing at noon on a Sunday it’s important to wake up and really find that quick rhythm, and I thought we did that today,” she said.The Scarlet and Gray now prepare for conference play as they enter 5-1-1 on the season. “We’re still trying to play faster, all the time, just trying to increase your speed to play,” Walker said. “The faster you can play, the quicker you can pull defenses apart.”The Buckeyes are set to open up Big Ten play in Columbus on Thursday evening as they take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. at Jesse Owens Memorial Stadium. read more

Review Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern Munich

first_imgThe first DFB Pokal semi-final wasn’t a contest. Bayer Leverkusen did its best to stay in play, but Bayern Munich was simply too good. Thomas Muller registered a hat-trick in the 6-2 win at the BayArena.Heiko Herrlich made two changes from the weekend 4-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt. Karim Bellarabi was in the starting lineup instead of Leon Bailey. Also Jonathan Tah, who was rested on Saturday, was back at center back with Benjamin Henrichs returning to the bench. Julian Brandt was on the other side of Bellarabi, with Kevin Volland leading the attack. Jupp Heynckes rested more players over the weekend. Jerome Boateng, Javi Martinez, Robert Lewandowski, Franck Ribery and Arjen Robben are the players who were on the bench in the 5-1 victory versus Borussia Monchengladbach and started this one. Thomas Muller was Bayern’s captain on the night.Bayern was off to a flying start with a goal in the 3rd minute. Boateng sent a great ball in the box that landed straight on the head of Thomas Muller. Bernd Leno managed to save his close-range effort, but couldn’t get his hands on the rebound. After Muller’s header, the ball came to Javi Martinez, who struck it into the angle and the visitors took the lead. Lewandowski was in front of Leno in an offside position when the ball was shot, but didn’t seem to touch it. You could argue that he interfered with the play, since he obstructed Leno’s view. The referee discussed it with the replay crew and kept quiet. By the 10th minute it was already 2-0 for the Bavarians. Ribery dribbled past two defenders and found a wide open Lewandowski. He took it first-time, into the opposite corner and into the net. The game was quickly running away from The Pharmacists.In the 16th minute, Leverkusen reduced the lead with a scrappy goal. Bayern’s players had their arms up in the air waiting for a referee whistle that never came. Following a Bayer set piece cross, a couple of players fell on the ground, two Bayern defenders tried to clear the ball, which ricocheted off Boateng’s head and went high in the air. Lars Bender was its lucky recipient and made the most of the situation by putting one past Ulreich. The home team was a bit rattled following the two early goals, so Bender’s header really helped it recover and gain confidence. Bellarabi fired a phenomenal shot in the 37th minute. Unfortunately for him, Bayern’s goalie was up to the task.Despite the lack of chances, we saw goals and an entertaining first half. Most of Bayern’s attacks were going through the wings, while Leverkusen was anticipating counter attacks and looked dangerous whenever on the ball.Retsos, who was on a yellow card, left the pitch before the second half kicked off and was replaced by Leon Bailey. Rafinha substituted Alaba on the other side. First Volland and then Bellarabi had excellent opportunities to even the scoring in the 5th minute of the second period. Volland’s shot was blocked and Ulreich saved Bellarabi’s attempt. Bayern was quick to punish Leverkusen for their misses. Tah lost sight of Muller. Thiago Alcantara found him with an excellent pass and Bayern’s captain tonight finished clinically as only he can, renewing his team’s 2-goal advantage. Volland scored two thirds into the game, but his goal was rightfully disallowed for a clear offside.Soon after that, Ribery found Robben with a superb pass. The Dutchman slipped and fell inside the penalty area. Thiago Alcantara was first on the ball and scored with a sublime finish that followed an intelligent dummy move. He made it look so easy. It was all over in the 65th minute when Muller scored his second goal of the fixture, even though he didn’t mean to. It was a lightning strike by Munich. Ribery to Rafinha to Robben and into the net off Muller. He tried to jump over the ball in order to avoid contact thinking he was in an offside position. However, he failed to do so. The ball went off his foot and into the net, but he actually wasn’t in an illegal position, as Havertz was standing near the goal line. Heynckes’ men went from the pressure zone to the comfort zone in a matter of minutes.Leon Bailey scored superbly from a free kick in the 73rd minute to make it 5-2. This youngster is a star in the making. Thomas Muller got his hat-trick in the 79th minute, when Thiago Alcantara found him with a fantastic pass from a free kick from around midfield. Number 25 tucked the ball in, shielded it from the defender and executed calmly in typical Muller fashion. It ended 6-2. Bayern’s treble dream remains alive. With 11 goals in 2 matches, it appears to be peaking at just the right time. Real Madrid, beware!last_img read more

Ward joins Leicester

first_imgDanny Ward has joined Leicester City from Liverpool.Leicester City have announced that Ward will join the club on a four-year deal after completing his move from Liverpool.The goalkeeper who has struggled to make any impact at Anfield since joining club spent last season on loan with Dutch club Feyenoord.Ward failed to make any Premier League appearance for the Merseyside team and with the addition of Brazilian shot-stopper Alisson Becker, he was set to become the club’s fourth choice in the goalkeeping department.harry maguire, manchester UnitedMaguire says United need to build on today’s win George Patchias – September 14, 2019 Harry Maguire wants his United teammates to build on the victory over Leicester City.During the summer, Harry Maguire was referred to as the ultimate…Leicester finalized the deal to bring Danny Ward from Liverpool to the King Power Stadium on Thursday. With reports suggesting the foxes forked out around £12million for the Welsh goalkeeper.“I’m excited to be at this club and I’m really looking forward to the future.” Ward told LCTV, according to Sports Mole.“I believe I can become a better footballer here and help the club achieve more success.”Reports suggest Ward might be coming in to replace the current no. 1 Kasper Schmeichel. The Danish goalkeeper has been linked with a move out of Leicester with Chelsea rumored to be interested in his services.last_img read more

Inter Milan join the race for Cesc Fabregas

first_imgThe race for Cesc Fabregas appears to be heating up with Inter Milan having reportedly joinedThe Chelsea midfielder, who joined from Barcelona in the summer of 2014, has missed all four of the Blues’ opening Premier League matches this season with a minor knee problem.And new head coach Maurizio Sarri is yet to give any indication on whether Fabregas is a part of his midfield plans at Stamford Bridge.The 59-year-old brought compatriot Jorginho with him from Napoli this summer and the Italian has performed well alongside N’Golo Kante, Ross Barkley and Mateo Kovacic at the heart of the Chelsea midfield.Romelu Lukaku, Serie A, Inter MilanCapello calls Lukaku “a modern striker” Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 The former Italian manager believes Romelu Lukaku is perfectly suited for Antonio Conte’s Internazionale Milan in the Serie A.Therefore, Fabregas’ future at West London is now in big doubt.The Spaniard has already attracted the interest of AC Milan with the Daily Express now claiming that Inter are set to join the hunt for the former Arsenal captain.Fabregas has made over 180 appearances for Chelsea since his arrival from Barcelona in 2014.The 31-year-old’s current deal will expire at the end of the season.last_img read more

Dan Alon survivor of 1972 Munich Olympic Massacre to speak at Brayton

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp TCI Premier blasts Opposition side for “slop” information, sets it straight in HOA Related Items:#DanAlon, #MagneticNewsMedia, #municholympicmasacre Nearly 30 Haitians caught following illegal landing in Nassau, says Defence Force Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, TCI, November 17, 2016 — Hundreds are expected to flock to Brayton Hall on Thursday, Dec. 1 to hear the story of a man who survived the first live-broadcasted terrorist attack.Dan Alon, an Olympic Fencer and the event keynote speaker, will share the harrowing tale of his narrow escape from the 1972 Munich Massacre in Germany. The event, which is free and open to the public, is organized by the Provo Jewish Community and sponsored by Casablanca Casino, Fortis TCI, Gansevoort Resort, Grace Bay Car Rentals, Misick & Stanbrook Attorneys,  E. Jay Saunders & Family, TCBC and Waterloo Investment. Doors open at 6:30 pm, and the event will begin at 7 pm.In addition to the community event, we are thrilled to announce Alon will be speaking at a separate program for all the high school students on the island.“Our children will have a unique opportunity to witness history as a living experience, not from academic books, but from a man and athlete whose dreams of sportsmanship and fraternity were shattered in a brutal act of terrorism. We further hope that our young people will understand the need to oppose all forms of injustice and prejudice in a forceful, yet peaceful manner,” says Mrs. Wigglesworth, principal of the British West Indies Collegiate.In a world where violence continues to threaten innocent lives worldwide, Alon’s story remains a relevant and powerful one.  The Provo Jewish Community is proud to bring Alon to the island to hear his story of resilience, witness courage to start life anew and learn from the strength he found to overcome tremendous challenges.Dan Alon’s story is one that can ignite the peace and unity needed for the global community to heal our fragmented world.  The importance of a program like this is to learn how we can overcome our differences and come together in unity to find love and connection between all people.”For more than three decades, Alon remained tight-lipped about his harrowing experience. But in recent years he decided to break his silence and share his experience with others to keep the story alive. That goal has taken him around the world, and now, to the Turks and Caicos. “We are grateful to our sponsors whose partnership is a testament to their commitment to education and concern for the danger of indifference”.“It was too emotional to talk about,” Alon has said. “The memories were harsh realities that I had to face on a daily basis.”When Dan Alon left his native Israel to participate in the 1972 Munich Olympic Games at the age of 27, he was the country’s top fencer and had dreams of returning with gold medals. However, the Munich Massacre cut that dream short, and he found himself on a flight home with the coffins of his friends and teammates instead.The terrorist attack, captured in Steven Spielberg’s 2005 film Munich, claimed the lives of 12 people, including 11 members of the Israeli team and a West Germany policeman.  The tragedy was later blamed on a terrorist group called Black September.This is not the first lecture of its kind that the local Jewish community has organized.  In 2013, the group hosted Rena Finder, a Schindler’s List survivor, drawing an audience of over 400 people to Brayton Hall and leaving a lasting impact on all who attended.“It is our goal to bring speakers who can impart an uplifting message and bring together all people on the island, regardless of their cultural and religious backgrounds,” Rabbi Bluming says. Bahamas Police Commissioner Greenslade gone to UK, appointed as High Commissioner Recommended for youlast_img read more

Female dung beetles use horns to fight over manure

first_img Citation: Female dung beetles use horns to fight over manure (2010, March 4) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2010-03-female-dung-beetles-horns-manure.html Fossilized dung balls reveal secret ecology of lost world More information: Reproductive competition promotes the evolution of female weaponry, Nicola L. Watson, Leigh W. Simmons; Proceedings of the Royal Society B. doi:10.1098/rspb.2009.2335 This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. © 2010 PhysOrg.com Dung beetle (Onthophagus sagittarius) Image credit: U.Schmidt. Explore further University of Western Australia researchers, Prof. Leigh Simmons and Dr. Nicola Watson, studied the female dung beetle (Onthophagus sagittarius), which, as its name suggests, feeds on dung. When they arranged for the females to have to race each other to reach deposits of cow dung and access to egg-laying sites in tunnels beneath the dung, those with larger horns were able to gather more manure, and thus provide more of this valuable resource for supporting their young. In a study published in the Proceedings of the Royal Society B, the researchers said competition between females for the use of breeding resources reduced the reproductive fitness of all the beetles, but smaller beetles were worse off than larger individuals. When matched for body size, the longest horns gave the greatest advantage in reproductive fitness, producing significantly more broods than beetles with shorter horns.Dung beetles lay their eggs in balls of dung, which must be fresh for the beetles to use it and this is what leads to competition. Watson said there is a distinct advantage for females that can get to dung first and seize the best and freshest pieces. They have also been observed stealing dung from other females and replacing eggs with their own.Dung beetles are also unusual in that the female dung beetles’ horns are of a different type to those of male beetles, and the scientists suggest this means they have evolved independently. Unlike male horns, they are not used for fighting off predators, defending territory, or competing for mates, but for fighting off other females competing with them for resources. (PhysOrg.com) — Dung beetles are among the few species in which the females are more impressively equipped with armor than males, and a new study explains why: the females fight each other for the best manure and breeding sites.last_img read more